Every year around this time, the national conversation narrows to line items in a finance bill — VAT thresholds, excise adjustments, digital levies. It is worth stepping back to ask what actually changed since 2024, and what didn't.

It Was Never Just About Tax

The scale of public anger in 2024 was disproportionate to any single clause in that year's bill. What drove it was a broader sense that ordinary Kenyans' input into fiscal decisions was cosmetic — a box to check rather than a genuine part of policymaking.

You can hold a hundred public participation forums and still fail public participation, if none of what is said in the room changes what's in the bill.

This year's process has, on paper, addressed some procedural complaints: longer timelines, more counties visited, wider publication of drafts. Whether that translates into decisions that actually reflect public input is a different, harder question — one we won't be able to answer until the bill's final form is compared against what citizens actually said.

What Would Real Listening Look Like

It would mean publishing, clause by clause, what changed because of public submissions and what didn't, and why. Kenya has the institutional capacity to do this. What it has lacked, across successive finance bills, is the political will.